I have no real evidence to support this (other than my own gradual return to sanity and the rate of growth of the Facebook group) that Cleggmania is beginning to fade. The next debate is on Sky News which, I believe, will get the smallest audience and have the least impact of the three – it’s hard to imagine another bounce like the one we’ve seen. Having said that, Michael Crick points out that this debate comes just before the Postal Voting begins…
I’ve just taken a call from Cowley Street, asking for a donations – “desperately short” of funds, apparently. I told them I’m an ex-member and don’t want to donate, but I asked him how things were going… are they finding it easier to get money? He said he’d not done this kind of work before. “All hands to on the deck manning the phones then?” I said. “Oh yes” came the reply.
However this week appears to have rocked the other two parties hard, and Labour have proven to be the big losers. Their lows are historic lows and, as expected, they perceive it as a catastrophic emergency that requires immediate action. I always wondered why the Lib Dems never saw polling lower than Labour currently are as a catastrophic emergency, but I guess it’s a question of perspective and expectations, at the end of the day.
The Tories seem to be faring better in that they seem to be ploughing on exactly as they were always going to, leaving attacking the Lib Dems to the Daily Mail instead – very wise. They’re polling fairly well, too, with no sign that their support is evaporating (which makes the curious case of new poster all the more peculiar) Brown, on the other hand, the man who can’t bring himself to say “Liberal Democrats” thanks to a lifelong grudge against the Social Democrat splitters, is rehashing Blair’s old story about creating a new anti-Tory progressive consensus. Well, he would. If one thing has become absolutely true in the last week it’s that Brown’s only real chance of staying Prime Minister is in coalition with the Lib Dems.
It seems a sad day when the incumbent Prime Minister is forced to continue with the degrading, “I Agree With Nick” line, and I wince at the inevitable rebuffs. This new humbled passivity from Brown is more frightening than anything he did as Stalin or Mr Bean. It’s frankly creepy. It’s what, I suppose, passes for what Brown as a coalition leader might look and feel like – humbled and reduced.
But, of course, the point of this manoeuvre is to portray the Conservatives as isolated extremists, and piggybacking on the popularity of the and I can’t actually quite believe I’m saying this Lib Dems.
For Cleggmania to fade it requires nothing more special than time to pass. For Labour to recover, they need… well… a miracle, in short. Maybe a perception that Nick Clegg is now bullying Gordon Brown (hey, stranger things have happened) will be ‘it’. Who knows?
I really haven’t got a clue what the hell is going on.
